26-27
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This cycle
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Last cycle, by now
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Live · Neurological Surgery

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25 of 123
How it worksInvites come from applicant reports. One report means a program sent invites that day, not a count of applicants. “Last cycle” compares the same day of the 2025-26 season. Signaled → invited counts Rezumab users who signalled the program and later logged an invite, shown once three or more have signalled it. No names are ever shown.
What applicants end up with
192 neurological surgery applicants, 3 cycles
17median invites11–21 is the middle half
01730+

Final counts for neurological surgery applicants · n = 192

When offers arrive
the window applicants said theirs landed in
16.8%
59.7%
14.1%
4.2%
2.6%
1%
0.5%
1%
October
November
December

70% of neurological surgery applicants had their offers by this point in the cycle, and 59.7% named Mid October — the window you are in now. 30% of the field were still waiting at this point.

The interviews themselves cluster in December (51%) and November (44.8%) — the weeks worth keeping clear.

How this is measured

Applicant-level self-reported survey rows pooled over survey years 2024-2025-2026, one row per applicant per specialty per cycle. `offers` is the distribution of interview offers received. `match_curve` is P(matched in this specialty | number of offers), binned adaptively to at least 25 applicants per bin and fit with pool-adjacent-violators so the curve is non-decreasing; ci_lo/ci_hi are Wilson intervals on the raw bin. `timing` is the share of applicants reporting their offers arrived in each window, and the outcome of the applicants in that window.

  • Conditional, not causal. Applicants with more interviews are stronger applicants; the curve says what happened to people holding N offers, not what a marginal extra interview buys you.
  • Matched means matched IN THIS SPECIALTY. An applicant who did not match here but matched a prelim year or a second specialty counts as unmatched.
  • Self-reported by applicants at participating schools, so the sample skews US MD and toward schools that run the survey. IMG and DO counts are thinner than the national applicant pool.
  • The timing question's earliest option is early October, so offers that arrived in September are folded into that window.