26-27
This cycle
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Last cycle, by now
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Live · General Surgery

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25 of 368
How it worksInvites come from applicant reports. One report means a program sent invites that day, not a count of applicants. “Last cycle” compares the same day of the 2025-26 season. Signaled → invited counts Rezumab users who signalled the program and later logged an invite, shown once three or more have signalled it. No names are ever shown.
What applicants end up with
1,089 general surgery applicants, 3 cycles
12median invites8–18 is the middle half
15invites for 90%where the match rate reaches 90%
01226+

Final counts for general surgery applicants · n = 1,089

15 invites is where general surgery applicants reached a 90% match rate, and three in four matched from 8.

When offers arrive
the window applicants said theirs landed in
7.5%
19.2%
58.4%
8.7%
4.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.3%
October
November
December

25% of general surgery applicants had their offers by this point in the cycle, and 19.2% named Mid October — the window you are in now. 75% of the field were still waiting at this point.

The 4.2% whose offers did not arrive until Mid November still matched at 80% (n = 45), on a median of 8 invites.

The interviews themselves cluster in December (52.5%) and November (41.9%) — the weeks worth keeping clear.

How this is measured

Applicant-level self-reported survey rows pooled over survey years 2024-2025-2026, one row per applicant per specialty per cycle. `offers` is the distribution of interview offers received. `match_curve` is P(matched in this specialty | number of offers), binned adaptively to at least 25 applicants per bin and fit with pool-adjacent-violators so the curve is non-decreasing; ci_lo/ci_hi are Wilson intervals on the raw bin. `timing` is the share of applicants reporting their offers arrived in each window, and the outcome of the applicants in that window.

  • Conditional, not causal. Applicants with more interviews are stronger applicants; the curve says what happened to people holding N offers, not what a marginal extra interview buys you.
  • Matched means matched IN THIS SPECIALTY. An applicant who did not match here but matched a prelim year or a second specialty counts as unmatched.
  • Self-reported by applicants at participating schools, so the sample skews US MD and toward schools that run the survey. IMG and DO counts are thinner than the national applicant pool.
  • The timing question's earliest option is early October, so offers that arrived in September are folded into that window.